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Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.The scale of computing power in Hubei has exceeded 10,000 P. According to Hubei Provincial Bureau of Data, the scale of computing power in Hubei has exceeded 10,000 P, which is expected to drive the scale of computing power and big data industry in Hubei Province to reach 120 billion yuan. Internet access, map navigation, gene sequencing, climate prediction, high-end manufacturing ... Computing power is everywhere. P is the quantitative unit of computing power, and 10,000 P computing power is equivalent to the computing power of 5 million high-performance computers.Market News: South Korea's National Power Party discusses Yin Xiyue's stepping down in February or March.

Morgan Stanley published a research report that China's monetary policy changed from "prudent" to "moderately loose" to support market sentiment in 2025, and the real policy may focus on interest rate reform in 2025. Morgan Stanley said that the increased attention to reactivating the capital market should also help support market sentiment and keep the trading volume high in the short term. The bank also suggested that optimizing existing loans, more rational bank loan growth and interest rate reform may be the real focus in 2025. The bank believes that risk-based loan pricing may continue to recover, which will help to buffer the bank's net interest margin, even if some additional loan market quotations are lowered.Rong Sheng Development failed to pay the "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" as scheduled, with a total principal and interest of 1,678.08 million yuan. On December 10th, Rong Sheng Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. announced that the "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" issued by the company failed to pay the principal and interest of 1,678.08 million yuan as scheduled. The debt was due today, but the company failed to repay it in full. Rong Sheng Real Estate said that it will actively communicate with bondholders on the follow-up disposal plan to seek a solution. "20 Rong Sheng Real Estate MTN003" passed the extension plan in 2022, with the principal extended for one year and the interest extended for two years. (澎湃)The net outflow of the main market exceeded 10 billion.

Navigation warning! In the sea shooting test in the southern part of the Yellow Sea, Lianyungang Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 8: 00 to 14: 00 on December 11, some sea areas in the southern part of the Yellow Sea were fired with live ammunition, and it was forbidden to enter. (Website of China Maritime Safety Administration)In November, China's dollar-denominated exports increased by 6.7% year-on-year, while imports decreased by 3.9%.Electric wind power set up a new company, including offshore wind turbine business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shangdian Ruoqiang New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Gao Xiang as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of new energy prime mover equipment; Sales of onshore wind turbines; Offshore wind turbine sales, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Electric Wind Power.